A disciplined engine that monitors 47,000+ markets, applies proprietary hard filters, and holds high-conviction positions to settlement — logged, calibrated, auditable.
Independent research service. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or operated by Polymarket.
Limited membership · 40 API seats · founding pricing ends at 50 members
Live since June 2026 · 3 servers · 23 automated jobs
Illustrative markets for theme only. Not affiliated with or endorsed by Polymarket.
Portfolio target: 125%+ annual return (≈7–8% monthly, compounded) — above the verified public benchmark.
No discretionary hunches. Every position moves through the same pipeline — and every decision is written to a log you can audit.
47,000+ markets monitored, continuously.
Proprietary hard filters. Under 1% of markets pass.
Hold to settlement, redeem, and roll into the next.
Each pick carries a side, an entry, and a per-position entry yield (annualized per position — distinct from the portfolio annual target). Two shown in full — the rest unlock with a subscription.
| Market | Side | Entry | Per-position APY | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump–Aoun meeting July | YES | 0.85 | >180% | OPEN |
| Core CPI 2.7% June | NO | 0.92 | >120% | OPEN |
Not a backtest. This is realized performance on redeemed positions, with the honest calibration figures beside it.
Hit rate reflects deep-favorite selection; return is measured per position against market price at entry. Past performance ≠ future returns.
@car — a top-tier Polymarket P&L leaderboard account: +$1.29M realized over 582 days — ~93% per year on the full book, public and on-chain verifiable. Our target: 125%+ per year — set above the verified benchmark, annual against annual.
The only performance dollar figure on this page is independent, publicly verifiable third-party data.
Drag the holding horizon and see compounded growth across conservative, base, and stretch run-rates (annualized, compounded monthly).
Scenarios compound to the annual target (125%+/yr ≈ 7–8%/mo); illustrative only, not a promise or offer.
Every tier runs off the same engine. Choose how much you want to operate yourself.
The research layer behind the desk. Built for funds and professional traders.
Below is a wall of positions the desk held to settlement and redeemed on-chain. Each card links to the live Polymarket resolution page — you don't have to trust us, you can click through and check. War, violence and disaster markets are filtered out of this public wall; the full record still counts them.
All figures are illustrative of past, settled calls · not a promise or prediction of future results · not investment advice.
Read this honestly. 59 is a small sample — treat 94.9% as consistent with skill, not proof of it, until the denominator grows. A high-probability call still loses sometimes, and any single position can go to zero. We publish the misses beside the wins because that is the only thing that makes the wins mean anything.
Positions are published on a delay so the wall can never front-run a live trade. Titles come straight from Polymarket and are shown after a brand-safety filter (war / violence / disaster markets excluded). A per-position yield appears only where we have published one — it is illustrative of the entry, measured against market price at entry, not a promise. Where no yield is shown, the card still stands on its verifiable settlement.
Our free #delayed-signals feed shows each read on a 48-hour delay. That delay is the point: the read is on the public record before the market resolves, so a win can never be a screenshot taken after the fact. A prediction is only worth anything if it was public before the outcome — this is timestamped evidence that judgment came first, which is harder proof than any testimonial.
“I'm Charles Lu — a full-time quant trader based in Paris, CFA charterholder. This desk applies systematic discipline to prediction markets: every settled call is published on-chain, where you can verify it yourself. Receipts, not promises.”
— Charles Lu · Founder, Polymarket SelectMonth-to-month — cancel from your account, no fee
Access runs to the end of the period you paid for
We never take custody of your funds or keys
1. Click any receipt above → it opens the Polymarket market page. 2. Confirm it resolved the way we said. 3. Compare our stated accuracy against the misses we show. The benchmark we quote — the public account @car (+$1.29M over 582 days, on-chain) — is independently verifiable too. Nothing here asks you to take a number on faith.
Independent research service — not affiliated with, endorsed by, or operated by Polymarket. Performance figures are illustrative of past settled calls and are not a promise or prediction of future results. Not investment advice. Prediction-market access varies by jurisdiction; you are responsible for compliance in your location. Trading involves risk of total loss.
Real, opt-in feedback from the community — posted unedited, only after a member gives explicit permission. We do not write, buy, or edit any of it.
Early testing in progress — real member feedback will appear here, unedited.
We would rather show you an honest empty shelf than a single manufactured review. When members choose to share (and opt in with a ✅), their words — not ours — go here, with a date and where it came from. In the meantime, judge us on the on-chain receipts, not on quotes.
Every quote shown here is opt-in and consented via our Discord #feedback channel, names shown masked by default. No incentives are given for feedback. Not investment advice.